Afghanistan–Pakistan Ceasefire: How Long Will It Last? A Bhrigu and Dasha-Based Forecast

by Shailesh Shaily, posted in bhrigu tranist cycle, international war astrology, Prashari Jyotish

     

Introduction: Fragile Truce Amid Border Fire

A temporary ceasefire between Afghanistan and Pakistan was reached in Doha, Qatar, after a week of fierce border clashes — the worst since the Taliban took control of Kabul in 2021. Pakistan’s Defence Minister Khawaja Muhammad Asif confirmed that the truce “hinges on Afghanistan’s ability to control cross-border militant attacks.”
Mediated by Qatar and Turkey, both sides agreed to reconvene in Istanbul on October 25 to finalize the terms and verify its implementation. However, given the deep-rooted hostility and repeated border conflicts, the question remains: how long can this ceasefire hold?

Astrologically, the horoscopes of both nations indicate that this truce is only a temporary pause before a major territorial and military escalation in the near future. Let us examine this through Vimshottari Dasha, Yogini Dasha, and Bhrigu Transit Cycles for both countries.

Horoscope of Afghanistan

Birth Data: 22 December 2001, 13:12 hrs, Kabul, Afghanistan
Lagna: Aries

The chart shows Aries Lagna, with Lagna lord Mars in the 11th house, aspected by retrograde Saturn (10th and 11th lord) from the 2nd house. This configuration gives Afghanistan an aggressive and expansionist tendency, seeking territorial gain through conflict.
In the D-9 Navamsha chart, Gemini rises, which corresponds to the 3rd house of the main chart — representing neighboring countries (Pakistan, Iran, China). This confirms that Afghanistan’s destiny is strongly tied to its interactions and conflicts with its neighbors.

Vimshottari Dasha Analysis

Current Dasha: Mercury–Mercury (12 August 2023 – 8 January 2026)

  • Mercury, lord of the 3rd (neighbors) and 6th (war/enemies) houses, is placed in the 9th house with Sun (5th lord), Venus (2nd and 7th lord), and Ketu aspect by retro jupiter 9th and 12th from 3rd house  — indicating conflict with neighbors, especially Pakistan.
  • Mercury’s position in the D-9 Navamsha (3rd house, aspected by Mars from 9th) further emphasizes confrontation.
  • This phase brings border tensions, strategic alliances, and covert operations funded by external powers — particularly India, seen through the involvement of Jupiter (12th lord) aspecting the 9th house.

Next Anterdasha: Ketu (8 January 2026 – 5 January 2027)

  • Ketu in the 9th house conjunct Mercury, Sun, and Venus, under Jupiter’s retrograde aspect, signifies territorial expansion at Pakistan’s expense.
  • Support from India (12th lord Jupiter’s link) will empower Afghanistan militarily and financially.
  • This period may see major land capture or administrative control of Pakistan’s western territories by Afghan forces or their allies (like TTP).

Following Anterdasha: Venus (5 January 2027 – 5 November 2029)

  • Venus, the 2nd and 7th lord, sits with Mercury ,sun and Ketu in the 9th house — again reinforcing foreign alliances and territorial consolidation.
  • In D-9, Venus in the 11th with Ketu points to gains through war and alliance-based expansion.

Transit Influence for 2025–2026

  • Saturn Transit (Pisces, 12th house from Lagna) from 28 March 2025 will pass over natal Moon (4th lord) — showing gain of land and property from enemies (Pakistan).
  • Jupiter Transit (Gemini) over natal Rahu and Jupiter, aspecting the 9th house, activates divine luck and destiny for Afghanistan’s rise.
    Together, these transits indicate a turning point in the Afghanistan–Pakistan relationship, with Afghanistan gaining upper hand militarily and territorially.

Yogini Dasha (Rahu Mahadasha: 19 August 2020 – 19 August 2028)

  • Rahu in the 3rd house conjunct retro Jupiter (9th and 12th lord) gives warlike expansionism, particularly toward neighboring territories.
  • Rahu’s nakshatra, Mrigashira, is ruled by Mars (Lagna lord) — enhancing militant confidence.
  • In Navamsha, Rahu is in Libra (5th house), whose lord Venus is in 11th house of gains, confirming military success and land acquisition during Rahu’s Dasha.
    Hence, Rahu Mahadasha (2020–2028) will mark the rise of Afghanistan as a regional power, likely reclaiming parts of northwestern Pakistan.

Taliban Government Horoscope

Birth Data: 15 August 2021, 13:00 hrs, Kabul, Afghanistan
Lagna: Scorpio

  • Mars, Lagna lord, is in 10th house with Mercury (8th and 11th lord), aspected by Jupiter (2nd and 5th lord) — ensuring strong governance and territorial control.
  • However, Moon debilitated in Lagna with Mars and Ketu during Bhrigu Transit cycle indicates heavy loss of life and internal chaos, as Pakistan retaliates militarily.

Horoscope of Pakistan

Birth Data: 14 August 1947, 00:01 hrs, Karachi, Pakistan
Lagna: Aries

Pakistan too has Aries rising, sharing the same fiery Lagna as Afghanistan — making the two natural adversaries. Mars, the Lagna lord, is in the 3rd house, conjunct the 4th lord Moon, showing a war-driven psyche and constant territorial disputes with neighbors.

Current Dasha: Venus–Mercury (21 December 2023 – 21 October 2026)

  • Venus, a Maraka for Aries Lagna, is in the 4th house, hemmed between Saturn and Sun, showing internal instability and disintegration.
  • Venus’s nakshatra lord Mercury (3rd and 6th lord) is also afflicted, indicating conflict with Afghanistan and India, leading to territorial loss.
  • The exchange between Moon (4th lord) and Mercury (3rd lord) reflects loss of land to neighboring countries.

Next Anterdasha: Ketu (21 October 2026 – 21 December 2027)

  • Ketu in Scorpio in 8th house nakshatra Gandanta signifies crisis and transformation.
  • Its sign lord Mars (3rd house with Moon) represents loss of land and violent war with Afghanistan.
  • In Navamsha, Ketu in the 10th house, whose sign lord Sun is afflicted by Mars and Saturn, shows regime collapse and mass civilian suffering.

This period could mark Pakistan’s worst phase since its creation, with bloodshed, fragmentation, and loss of control over western territories.

Bhrigu Transit Cycle Indications

  • During 2025–2026, Saturn–Mars–Moon axis becomes highly active in both charts.
  • For Afghanistan, this cycle shows territorial acquisition and rise in national morale.
  • For Pakistan, it indicates war losses, regime instability, and territorial fragmentation.

Conclusion: The Ceasefire Is Temporary

The Doha truce between Afghanistan and Pakistan is only a short-lived pause before a much larger regional realignment.
Between 2026 and 2028, under the influence of Rahu Dasha (Afghanistan) and Ketu Antardasha (Pakistan), the balance of power will shift decisively.
Astrologically, Afghanistan is destined to gain, while Pakistan faces territorial, political, and military humiliation — marking the beginning of a new geopolitical order in South-Central Asia.